Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2.048728e-02 0.022637 0.024787 0.027091 0.029486 0.031897 0.034504
2025-03-09 1.635160e-02 0.019754 0.023280 0.027180 0.031347 0.035644 0.040390
2025-03-16 1.344700e-02 0.017508 0.021841 0.026745 0.032087 0.037685 0.043952
2025-03-23 1.154843e-02 0.016096 0.021073 0.026815 0.033166 0.039901 0.047518
2025-03-30 9.778827e-03 0.014641 0.020102 0.026520 0.033718 0.041434 0.050236
2025-04-06 8.237255e-03 0.013305 0.019149 0.026140 0.034084 0.042683 0.052568
2025-04-13 6.484743e-03 0.011557 0.017601 0.024983 0.033496 0.042808 0.053600
2025-04-20 5.786264e-03 0.011055 0.017475 0.025422 0.034669 0.044849 0.056705
2025-04-27 4.863297e-03 0.010177 0.016836 0.025212 0.035061 0.045984 0.058772
2025-05-04 3.940151e-03 0.009205 0.016022 0.024746 0.035118 0.046709 0.060354
2025-05-11 3.386236e-03 0.008693 0.015749 0.024900 0.035873 0.048200 0.062770
2025-05-18 2.787418e-03 0.008048 0.015266 0.024770 0.036269 0.049263 0.064687
2025-05-25 2.152745e-03 0.007310 0.014679 0.024562 0.036646 0.050395 0.066791
2025-06-01 1.669583e-03 0.006753 0.014318 0.024638 0.037375 0.051954 0.069412
2025-06-08 1.134095e-03 0.005979 0.013601 0.024222 0.037484 0.052769 0.071162
2025-06-15 8.076815e-04 0.005513 0.013281 0.024289 0.038155 0.054221 0.073621
2025-06-22 4.788994e-04 0.004909 0.012714 0.024006 0.038378 0.055132 0.075446
2025-06-29 2.245063e-04 0.004312 0.012109 0.023643 0.038480 0.055883 0.077070
2025-07-06 1.953707e-05 0.003437 0.010986 0.022538 0.037630 0.055487 0.077350
2025-07-13 2.297192e-08 0.003272 0.010993 0.022957 0.038674 0.057325 0.080206
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002869 0.010564 0.022756 0.038924 0.058210 0.081945
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002407 0.009979 0.022311 0.038848 0.058690 0.083203
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002193 0.009822 0.022459 0.039518 0.060058 0.085488